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Regards.
Dennis Ng wrote:Why hurry to pay off Housing Loan is not wise?
Sunday Times 29 Oct 2006 page 26 and 27 published an article entitlted]:" Why paying off your mortgage quickly is not always good."
I was asked for my comments. Only some of which were published, below are the full comments I provided to Sunday Times for your easy reference:
If you read any Personal Finance books from all bookstores, one "recurrent" advice they have is "be debt-free as soon as possible". I have seen many people after reading such books quickly pay off all their debts, including Housing Loan, which to me is actually unwise.
They forget that there is GOOD debt and there's BAD Debt. Bad debt is any debt on consumption. Thus, to me car loans, personal loans, credit card debt are ALL bad debt and a person should avoid such debts or aim to pay them off as soon as possible.
Actually, if there's a way you can be "debt-free" and yet enjoy the benefit of leverage that debt provides wouldn't it be better? It can be done, let me show you how.
Personally, my Housing Loan is $x amount. What I have in cash is more than $2x. So am I debt free? Actually on a NETT basis, I am. However, I'm "retaining the Housing Loan debt" becos it makes financial sense to do so. In my opinion, the problem is most people only have a limited knowledge and finance and debt but they just stick to concepts such as "be debt free as soon as possible" without looking at the issue deeper.
They never think deeper, such as how you can "be debt-free" but still enjoy the "Leverage" that debt provides (just like what I'm doing). Isn't that better? It's likely having your cake and eat it too.
Not doing what I am doing is "shortchanging" yourself.
As I mentioned, as long as a person does not over-borrow, (ie. debt servicing ratio less than 35%), he can just aim to pay off Housing Loan by age 55 and not in a hurry to pay it off.
Why? Here’re the reasons:
1. Housing Loan is cheapest loan a person can ever get. Currently, Housing Loan interest rate is about 3%, compared to 7% for car loan, 14% for personal unsecured loan and 24% for credit cards!
2. paying off Housing Loan does not increase your networth.
Let me use an example to illustrate:
Mr A owns a condominium with a market value of $500,000. He has an outstanding housing loan of $400,000 and no other liabilities. He has other investments worth about $100,000 and has $100,000 in cash/CPF Ordinary account balance. He is considering to use the $100,000 in cash/CPF fully to reduce his housing loan from $400,000 to $300,000 after reading books which “teaches” him to be debt-free as soon as possible. Will doing so really improve his net worth position?
This is his current Net Worth Position:
Assets:
Cash/CPF $100,000
Other investments $100,000
Property (market value) $500,000
Total assets $700,000
Less total liabilities:
Housing Loan $400,000
Net Worth $300,000
By using his cash/CPF to reduce his housing loan, this would be his revised net worth position:
Assets:
Cash/CPF $0
Other investments $100,000
Property (market value) $500,000
Total assets $600,000
Less total liabilities:
Housing Loan $300,000
Net Worth $300,000
As you can clearly see from the above example, using his cash/CPF to reduce his housing loan, he is simply reducing his asset to reduce his loan. The net result of doing so makes no difference in his net worth position, which remains as $300,000.
3. by reducing your Housing Loan, actually you’re reducing your “Financial Security”.
What are the 3 worst things that can happen to anyone?
They’re :
death
disabled
retrenchment
in all 3 worst scenarios, the person who did not use up his cash/CPF to reduce loan, his dependants would actually be in a better financial position than after he reduces his loan.
If he take up mortgage insurance, his housing loan would in fact be paid off by insurance in event of death and total permanent disability. Thus, by reducing his loan, he is just reducing his own benefit from mortgage insurance.
4. You can actually gain financially by keeping your housing loan!
As I have shown in the detailed spreadsheet calculations of $100,000 loan vs $100,000 savings.
5. Opportunity cost of using cash to pay off Housing Loan
As mentioned, I hold about 30% cash currently. If next year, U.S stock market crash due to correction ins U.S. property market, I would be able to benefit from a “crisis” because I have cash to invest when prices are low. People who use cash to reduce loan has NO cash to take advantage of opportunities in a crisis.
People say “crisis is an opportunity”.
It’s wrong. I say, a crisis is only an opportunity to those people who have cash. A crisis is NO opportunity for people who do not have cash to invest. When a crisis comes, I can easily make 50% to 100% returns. Just take a look at past crisis eg. SARS in S’pore in year 2003 and you would know what I say is the truth.
6. You can easily get 3% to 4% annual returns single premium endowment even if you don’t know how to invest.
For people who say they don’t know how to invest their money, that’s why they use cash to reduce loan. My reply to them is just take up a 20 year single premium endowment and you can easily get annual returns of at least 3.5% per year. (just get any quotation from any insurers in Singapore and again you know I’m speaking the truth.
7. instead of using cash to reduce your loan, you can take up "Interest Offset Loan". By doing so, you're not paying interest since the interest earned on your cash 100% offset interest you pay on your loan. You enjoy the same advantage as paying off your loan. However, you have another additoinal advantage of having liquidity of your cash which you forgo if you use cash to reduce loan.